Forecasting China's GDP Growth in 2012

- The prospects for a soft landing remain high, with growth expected at 8.2 percent in 2012 and 8.6 percent in 2013.

China Quarterly Update, World Bank (April 2012)

- China's economic growth will likely moderate to around 8 percent this year amid downward risks caused by the ongoing crisis in Europe. The revision (from 8.2 percent predicted by the IMF in April to 8 percent) is still a comfortable growth for China.

David Lipton, First Deputy Managing Director of the IMF (June 2012)

- China's GDP growth is forecast at 8.5 percent in 2012 and 8.7 percent in 2013. Inflation is forecast to decline to about 4 percent.

Asian Development Outlook 2012, Asian Development Bank (April 2012)

- China's GDP growth will still be 8 percent in 2012, lower than the average annual 10.5 percent in 2007-11.

Fitch Ratings (June 2012)

- The second quarter may be the bottom of economic growth and since the third quarter economic growth will recover to 8 percent and above, with possibility of a soft landing remaining high. GDP growth is expected to reach 8.2 percent in the third quarter of 2012.

Institute of International Finance, Bank of China (June 2012)

Email us at: lanxinzhen@bjreview.com