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Ideas That Matter | ||||||
Top China-U.S. analysts share their respective views | ||||||
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On the sidelines of a Chinese-American think tank forum that took place in Beijing in mid-December, a group of prominent scholars answered questions from Chinese media professionals on a range of issues. They spoke candidly about problems hindering bilateral ties and proposed ways to prevent them from escalating. Beijing Review reporter Liu Yunyun brought their opinions back to present them to our readers. Edited excerpts follow: On President Xi's U.S. visit
On the yuan's SDR inclusion
When the United States thinks rationally, it realizes that the rise of China is inevitable and it needs to give China a bigger say in international institutions. The United States totally understands that it would be much better to cooperate with a rising country and steer its direction than to resist the trend and shut it out. However, Washington's knee-jerk reaction to the China-proposed Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank--not only refusing to join but also trying to dissuade its allies from joining--reflects its gut-wrenching feeling to see China in a leading role.
Jeffery Bader: The United States has long supported the internationalization of the RMB. I think this is part of the process of China being a global stakeholder. For the time being, the RMB will be a pretty small element of the reserve currency in the SDR, which will still be dominated by the U.S. dollar, the euro and by the Japanese yen. But it's a major step toward China accepting the basic rules for convertibility of currency, acting in a way that maintains the yuan's proper value. On the South China Sea disputes Yuan Peng: Freedom of navigation is a pseudo-proposition or a fake problem, because navigation is always free in this area. What the United States wants is freedom of military deployment--to watch China's ships and monitor the so-called military buildup by China in the region. It claims it is impartial and does not take sides. But the fact shows that the United States sides with other countries like the Philippines and Viet Nam-...When U.S. warships come, we follow at a safe distance. That's what I'd like to call a new type of military relationship--we admit we have differences and conflicts, but we manage them properly so that they don't spiral out of control. Da Wei: Before China reaches agreement with other claimants in the region, U.S. involvement is inevitable. Fortunately, China and the United States have established a code for unplanned encounters at sea. The U.S. warship USS Lassen's sailing within 12 nautical miles off China's Zhubi Reef was followed by Chinese Navy ships. There were dialogues and communications. Lassen did not try to militarize the situation. Both sides exercised restraint, as they knew the patrol was for political purposes instead of a military action. Jeffery Bader: When you have problems, you don't walk away from them; you try to get the two presidents together to work on them. You build up ties at the professional level, between agencies and between actors on both sides, so they get to know each other and get to know what their common interests are, and what their differences are, and eventually they reach agreements. Bonnie Glaser: We are not going to solve the South China Sea issue overnight. Sovereign disputes are very difficult, and the United States does not take a position on sovereignty. President Barack Obama has put forward a proposal, which has actually been in place for more than a year, to halt construction, halt land reclamation, and not to militarize the situation—that's what we call the three "nos." A possible way forward is for all parties to exercise restraint, including all claimants, not just China. There should be some limits: no cruise missiles, no surface-to-air missiles, no storage of large quantities of jet fuel, one could make a very long list of military capabilities that constitute militarization. On the U.S. pivot-to-Asia policy Da Wei: If I were an American, I would say the pivot-to-Asia strategy is quite successful, even though a lot of Americans disagree. Compared with the situation six years ago, the U.S. relationship with nearly all countries in the region, excluding China, has been improving. They have strengthened military ties and forged new trade deals like the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). We can also say the strategy has its flaws. When the United States proposed the strategy, it stated it wanted to improve its relations with each country in the region, China included. However, its good relationship with smaller countries in the region is achieved at the expense of its relationship with China, the biggest country in the region. Yuan Peng: I don't know what the future would be like for a trade bloc that does not have China's participation. China used to be extremely worried about the TPP. But with time and more knowledge of it, we can now rationally process its implications with ease. I think in the end, the TPP is more likely to ardently invite China to join its "inner circle." The ASEAN nations are wary of U.S. intentions, too. After carefully observing the U.S. Asia-Pacific policies for two years, they feel disappointed as they find out that the United States is there for its own benefit instead of bringing good to the region. They are afraid of being used as bullets for the American gun. More importantly, the U.S.-led TPP might undermine the integration process of ASEAN, which they have worked so hard for. Copyedited by Mara Lee Durrell Comments to liuyunyun@bjreview.com |
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